Q4, 2023: Drained

Growth, Inflation & Policy As of October 23, 2023 Economic Activity The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) has been negative for 18 consecutive months and continues to signal a looming recession and subsequent slowdown in economic activity. However, estimates for the severity of the recession eased over the quarter, with the Conference Board forecasting a…

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Q3, 2023

Summary As of October 13, 2023 The S&P 500 ended September down 3.3%, reinforcing September’s reputation as the worst month of the year for stocks. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, which ended the quarter down 3.2%, is down 15% over the past three years in the largest three-year decline in history. Strategic Petroleum Reserve…

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